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Apple Valley, MN Weather Forecast

Dakota County, Minnesota

7-day view
Conditions now · Sun, 9:55 PM CST
60°FDewpoint 55°FMostly cloudy

Measured at KD5JEO · CWOP · 2.9 mi away · 20 minutes ago

Apple Valley, MN at Sun, 9:55 PM CST: 60°F and mostly cloudy, measured at KD5JEO 2.9 mi away, 20 minutes ago. Rest of today: high 59°F, low 58°F, 2% chance of rain. No active National Weather Service alerts for this location.

Current radarNational Weather Service radar · alerts refresh every minuteOpen live map →
Rain: light → heavyRadar mosaic © Iowa Environmental Mesonet / NWS · Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors, © Protomaps
Active none for this pointClick to frame

No active alerts for this location.

Most serious first · click a row to find it on the map
What is happeningWritten from the numbers on this page

An unsettled evening with storms closing in

It is 61° with a dew point of 52°, which is comfortable for this time of year. The sky is mostly cloudy.

The first rain arrives between 8 AM and 9 AM, with the best chance of it around noon. The model is also carrying a significant-severe signal in that window. It is a signal and not a warning, but it is the reason to keep an eye on the radar rather than on the clock. That leaves a usable window outdoors until about 8 AM, and it closes quickly after that.

Hour by hour
10 PMMostly cloudy59°F1%
11 PMOvercast58°F2%
12 AMOvercast58°F2%
1 AMMostly cloudy58°F3%
2 AMOvercast58°F3%
3 AMOvercast57°F3%
4 AMOvercast57°F5%
5 AMOvercast57°F4%
6 AMMostly cloudy57°F11%
7 AMMostly cloudy56°F23%
8 AMScattered rain56°F51%
9 AMRain likely57°F62%

Next 36 hours

Storms in the window, strongest as the line comes through

The wet part of the window runs from about 8 AM to 10 AM, 12 hours of it, with the highest chance near noon. The stronger cells in that line carry a significant-severe signal: gusty wind and frequent lightning are the likeliest way it shows up. That is model guidance, and an actual warning would come from the local office. Total accumulation over the window comes to about 0.72 in.

It tapers off after 10 AM. The overnight low settles near 56°. Tomorrow reaches 64°, 5° warmer than today.

Seven-day outlook

37–64°F across the week
TodayNov 1Mostly cloudy · 2% chance of rain58°F / 59°F
MonNov 2Rain likely · 91% chance of rain56°F / 64°F
TueNov 3Rain likely · 69% chance of rain54°F / 64°F
WedNov 4Rain likely · 72% chance of rain48°F / 52°F
ThuNov 5Scattered rain · 36% chance of rain44°F / 49°F
FriNov 6Mostly cloudy · 6% chance of rain39°F / 48°F
SatNov 7Mostly cloudy · 4% chance of rain37°F / 50°F
SunNov 8Partly cloudy · 11% chance of rain40°F / 51°F
MonNov 9Partly cloudy · 3% chance of rain39°F / 52°F
TueNov 10Partly cloudy · 3% chance of rain40°F / 52°F
WedNov 11Partly cloudy · 2% chance of rain40°F / 52°F
ThuNov 12Partly cloudy · 8% chance of rain43°F / 54°F

The week runs between 37° and 64°, with tomorrow the warmest day of it. The second half leans cooling, and Friday is the coolest day in it. Tomorrow is the wettest day, peaking near 91%. 3 of the 7 days stay dry.

Forecasts come from the National Weather Service's own computer models, and current conditions from the nearest reporting weather station. Both are served through the weather API. A forecast is guidance, not a warning, and anything the Weather Service has actually issued is on the live map.

The written summaries on this page are generated from the forecast data above, not by a meteorologist. Each sentence is a reading of the same numbers you can see, and no forecaster has reviewed them.

About the Apple Valley forecast

Apple Valley sits at 44.7453°N, 93.1994°W in Dakota County, Minnesota. The forecast above is drawn for that point from the National Weather Service's own computer models: a seven-day outlook, and a finer-grained one covering the next eighteen hours where it reaches, and the radar and alert panels show what the Weather Service has out over the area right now.

County
Dakota County
Coordinates
44.7453°N, 93.1994°W
Population
55,336 · 2023 estimate
Land area
16.871 sq mi

Place data from the US Census Bureau. Coordinates are the Census internal point for Apple Valley, and the forecast is for that location, not for every address inside the city limits, and a large city can have real weather differences from one side to the other.

How well can the network see Apple Valley?

The nearest Doppler radar is KMPX (Minneapolis, MN), 19 miles to the WNW. A WSR-88D's lowest routine scan sits half a degree above horizontal, and the earth curves away beneath it, so by the time that beam reaches Apple Valley its center is about 1,100 ft above ground. That is about as close as radar coverage gets in the United States: the lowest scan is still near the ground when it reaches Apple Valley, so low-level rotation and the leading edge of a gust front show up on it. Apple Valley is closer to its radar than 86% of US cities.

The closest instrument actually measuring the air is KLVN · Lakeville/Airlake Arpt on the ASOS/AWOS network, 8.4 miles away. Near enough to be representative on most days, though a summer thunderstorm can soak one and miss the other entirely.

Beam height is the standard 4/3-earth approximation for the 0.5° scan and assumes normal refraction; it is where the center of the beam is, not its edges, and unusual temperature profiles bend it. Radar siting from the NWS WSR-88D network, station positions from the Minnesota observing network as of this build.

Forecasts near Apple Valley

Elsewhere in Minnesota

MinneapolisSt. PaulRochesterDuluthBloomingtonBrooklyn ParkAll Minnesota forecasts →

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