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Rochester, MN Weather Forecast

Olmsted County, Minnesota

7-day view
Conditions now · Sun, 5:35 PM CST
63°FDewpoint 51°FMostly cloudy

Measured at K9MN · Rochester/Mayo-St Marys, MN · airport · 0.4 mi away · 14 minutes ago

Rochester, MN at Sun, 5:35 PM CST: 63°F and mostly cloudy, measured at K9MN (Rochester/Mayo-St Marys, MN) 0.4 mi away, 14 minutes ago. Rest of today: high 63°F, low 57°F, 3% chance of rain. No active National Weather Service alerts for this location.

Current radarNational Weather Service radar · alerts refresh every minuteOpen live map →
Rain: light → heavyRadar mosaic © Iowa Environmental Mesonet / NWS · Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors, © Protomaps
Active none for this pointClick to frame

No active alerts for this location.

Most serious first · click a row to find it on the map
What is happeningWritten from the numbers on this page

An unsettled evening with storms closing in

It is 61° with a dew point of 54°, which is comfortable for this time of year. The sky is mostly cloudy.

The first rain arrives between 9 AM and 10 AM, with the best chance of it around 3 PM. The model is also carrying a significant-severe signal in that window. It is a signal and not a warning, but it is the reason to keep an eye on the radar rather than on the clock. That leaves a usable window outdoors until about 9 AM, and it closes quickly after that.

Hour by hour
5 PMMostly cloudy63°F1%
6 PMMostly cloudy61°F1%
7 PMMostly cloudy59°F1%
8 PMMostly cloudy58°F1%
9 PMMostly cloudy58°F1%
10 PMMostly cloudy57°F2%
11 PMMostly cloudy57°F3%
12 AMMostly cloudy57°F2%
1 AMMostly cloudy57°F2%
2 AMOvercast57°F2%
3 AMMostly cloudy56°F3%
4 AMMostly cloudy56°F4%

Next 36 hours

Storms in the window, strongest as the line comes through

Wet weather moves in around 9 AM. The stronger cells in that line carry a significant-severe signal: gusty wind and frequent lightning are the likeliest way it shows up. That is model guidance, and an actual warning would come from the local office. Total accumulation over the window comes to about 0.66 in.

The overnight low settles near 55°. Tomorrow tops out near 63°. It also gets muggier, so tomorrow will feel warmer than the number on its own suggests.

Seven-day outlook

37–63°F across the week
TodayNov 1Mostly cloudy · 3% chance of rain57°F / 63°F
MonNov 2Rain likely · 82% chance of rain55°F / 63°F
TueNov 3Rain likely · 78% chance of rain55°F / 63°F
WedNov 4Rain likely · 57% chance of rain49°F / 53°F
ThuNov 5Scattered rain · 27% chance of rain45°F / 49°F
FriNov 6Mostly cloudy · 8% chance of rain40°F / 48°F
SatNov 7Mostly cloudy · 3% chance of rain37°F / 50°F
SunNov 8Partly cloudy · 14% chance of rain40°F / 53°F
MonNov 9Partly cloudy · 4% chance of rain42°F / 54°F
TueNov 10Partly cloudy · 5% chance of rain42°F / 54°F
WedNov 11Partly cloudy · 3% chance of rain43°F / 54°F
ThuNov 12Partly cloudy · 5% chance of rain43°F / 46°F

The week runs between 37° and 63°, with Tuesday the warmest day of it. The second half leans cooling, and Friday is the coolest day in it. Tomorrow is the wettest day, peaking near 82%. 3 of the 7 days stay dry.

Forecasts come from the National Weather Service's own computer models, and current conditions from the nearest reporting weather station. Both are served through the weather API. A forecast is guidance, not a warning, and anything the Weather Service has actually issued is on the live map.

The written summaries on this page are generated from the forecast data above, not by a meteorologist. Each sentence is a reading of the same numbers you can see, and no forecaster has reviewed them.

About the Rochester forecast

Rochester sits at 44.0143°N, 92.4786°W in Olmsted County, Minnesota. The forecast above is drawn for that point from the National Weather Service's own computer models: a seven-day outlook, and a finer-grained one covering the next eighteen hours where it reaches, and the radar and alert panels show what the Weather Service has out over the area right now.

County
Olmsted County
Coordinates
44.0143°N, 92.4786°W
Population
122,413 · 2023 estimate
Land area
56.486 sq mi

Place data from the US Census Bureau. Coordinates are the Census internal point for Rochester, and the forecast is for that location, not for every address inside the city limits, and a large city can have real weather differences from one side to the other.

How well can the network see Rochester?

The nearest Doppler radar is KARX (La Crosse, WI), 65 miles to the E. A WSR-88D's lowest routine scan sits half a degree above horizontal, and the earth curves away beneath it, so by the time that beam reaches Rochester its center is about 5,200 ft above ground. That is far enough out that the beam has climbed above the lowest few thousand feet. Storm structure aloft is visible; a shallow circulation near the ground may not be, and a warning here can arrive before anything looks dramatic on the radar picture.

The closest instrument actually measuring the air is K9MN · Rochester/Mayo-St Marys on the ASOS/AWOS network, 0.4 miles away. Close enough that its readings are, for practical purposes, the conditions in town.

Beam height is the standard 4/3-earth approximation for the 0.5° scan and assumes normal refraction; it is where the center of the beam is, not its edges, and unusual temperature profiles bend it. Radar siting from the NWS WSR-88D network, station positions from the Minnesota observing network as of this build.

Forecasts near Rochester

Elsewhere in Minnesota

MinneapolisSt. PaulDuluthBloomingtonBrooklyn ParkWoodburyAll Minnesota forecasts →

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