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Smithville, TX Weather Forecast

Bastrop County, Texas

7-day view
Conditions now · Thu, 8:35 AM CDT
68°FDewpoint 67°FOvercast

Measured at K3T5 · LaGrange/Fayette Rgnl, TX · airport · 14 mi away · 22 minutes ago

Smithville, TX at Thu, 8:35 AM CDT: 68°F and overcast, measured at K3T5 (LaGrange/Fayette Rgnl, TX) 14 mi away, 22 minutes ago. Rest of today: high 81°F, low 65°F, 15% chance of rain. No active National Weather Service alerts for this location.

Current radarNational Weather Service radar · alerts refresh every minuteOpen live map →
Rain: light → heavyRadar mosaic © Iowa Environmental Mesonet / NWS · Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors, © Protomaps
Active none for this pointClick to frame

No active alerts for this location.

Most serious first · click a row to find it on the map
What is happeningWritten from the numbers on this page

Dry for the moment, with rain moving in this evening

It is 69° with a dew point of 65°, which is noticeable for this time of year. The sky is mostly cloudy. The air is close to calm.

The first rain arrives between 5 PM and 6 PM. That leaves a usable window outdoors until about 5 PM, and it closes quickly after that.

Hour by hour
8 AMOvercast65°F4%
9 AMMostly cloudy68°F11%
10 AMMostly cloudy72°F15%
11 AMMostly cloudy75°F11%
12 PMOvercast77°F14%
1 PMOvercast78°F12%
2 PMOvercast79°F8%
3 PMMostly cloudy80°F6%
4 PMPartly cloudy81°F5%
5 PMPartly cloudy81°F4%
6 PMPartly cloudy79°F4%
7 PMMostly cloudy76°F4%

Next 36 hours

One wet spell, dry either side of it

The wet part of the window runs from about 5 PM to 8 PM, 3 hours of it, with the highest chance near 5 PM. Total accumulation over the window comes to about 0.03 in.

It tapers off after 8 PM. The overnight low settles near 67°. Tomorrow tops out near 78°.

Seven-day outlook

49–85°F across the week
TodayOct 29Mostly cloudy · 15% chance of rain65°F / 81°F
FriOct 30Scattered rain · 28% chance of rain63°F / 78°F
SatOct 31Rain likely · 59% chance of rain65°F / 83°F
SunNov 1Mostly cloudy · 3% chance of rain67°F / 84°F
MonNov 2Partly cloudy · 4% chance of rain69°F / 85°F
TueNov 3Scattered rain · 45% chance of rain64°F / 79°F
WedNov 4Scattered rain · 26% chance of rain55°F / 77°F
ThuNov 5Mostly sunny · 5% chance of rain52°F / 75°F
FriNov 6Mostly sunny · 4% chance of rain50°F / 71°F
SatNov 7Partly cloudy · 6% chance of rain49°F / 73°F
SunNov 8Partly cloudy · 11% chance of rain52°F / 73°F
MonNov 9Partly cloudy · 15% chance of rain52°F / 57°F

The week runs between 55° and 85°, with Monday the warmest day of it. There is no real trend across it: one day looks much like the next. Saturday is the wettest day, peaking near 59%. 3 of the 7 days stay dry.

Forecasts come from the National Weather Service's own computer models, and current conditions from the nearest reporting weather station. Both are served through the weather API. A forecast is guidance, not a warning, and anything the Weather Service has actually issued is on the live map.

The written summaries on this page are generated from the forecast data above, not by a meteorologist. Each sentence is a reading of the same numbers you can see, and no forecaster has reviewed them.

About the Smithville forecast

Smithville sits at 30.0080°N, 97.1523°W in Bastrop County, Texas. The forecast above is drawn for that point from the National Weather Service's own computer models: a seven-day outlook, and a finer-grained one covering the next eighteen hours where it reaches, and the radar and alert panels show what the Weather Service has out over the area right now.

County
Bastrop County
Coordinates
30.0080°N, 97.1523°W
Population
4,126 · 2023 estimate
Land area
4.06 sq mi

Place data from the US Census Bureau. Coordinates are the Census internal point for Smithville, and the forecast is for that location, not for every address inside the city limits, and a large city can have real weather differences from one side to the other.

How well can the network see Smithville?

The nearest Doppler radar is KGRK (Fort Hood, TX), 51 miles to the NNW. A WSR-88D's lowest routine scan sits half a degree above horizontal, and the earth curves away beneath it, so by the time that beam reaches Smithville its center is about 3,700 ft above ground. That is comfortably inside the useful range. The lowest scan passes low enough over Smithville to show rotation in the part of a storm where tornadoes actually form.

The closest instrument actually measuring the air is K3T5 · LaGrange/Fayette Rgnl on the ASOS/AWOS network, 14 miles away. Near enough to be representative on most days, though a summer thunderstorm can soak one and miss the other entirely.

Beam height is the standard 4/3-earth approximation for the 0.5° scan and assumes normal refraction; it is where the center of the beam is, not its edges, and unusual temperature profiles bend it. Radar siting from the NWS WSR-88D network, station positions from the Texas observing network as of this build.

Forecasts near Smithville

Elsewhere in Texas

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