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Box Elder, SD Weather Forecast

Pennington County, South Dakota

7-day view
Conditions now · Thu, 8:35 AM MDT
54°FDewpoint 34°FClear

Measured at KRCA · Ellsworth AFB, SD · airport · 3.6 mi away · 30 minutes ago

Box Elder, SD at Thu, 8:35 AM MDT: 54°F and clear, measured at KRCA (Ellsworth AFB, SD) 3.6 mi away, 30 minutes ago. Rest of today: high 58°F, low 40°F, 0% chance of precipitation. No active National Weather Service alerts for this location.

Current radarNational Weather Service radar · alerts refresh every minuteOpen live map →
Rain: light → heavyRadar mosaic © Iowa Environmental Mesonet / NWS · Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors, © Protomaps
Active none for this pointClick to frame

No active alerts for this location.

Most serious first · click a row to find it on the map
What is happeningWritten from the numbers on this page

A dry morning, clear

It is 40°, but the wind is taking it down to 38° on exposed skin. The sky is clear. The air is close to calm.

Nothing in the next day and a half is wet enough to move plans for.

Hour by hour
9 AMClear41°F0%
10 AMClear45°F0%
11 AMClear49°F0%
12 PMClear53°F0%
1 PMClear55°F0%
2 PMMostly sunny57°F0%
3 PMMostly sunny58°F0%
4 PMPartly cloudy57°F0%
5 PMMostly cloudy54°F0%
6 PMMostly cloudy47°F0%
7 PMMostly cloudy44°F0%
8 PMPartly cloudy43°F0%

Next 36 hours

Quiet through the next day and a half

Nothing wet is expected over the next day and a half.

The overnight low settles near 38°. Tomorrow tops out near 58°. It also gets muggier, so tomorrow will feel warmer than the number on its own suggests.

Seven-day outlook

35–67°F across the week
TodayOct 29Partly cloudy · 0% chance of rain40°F / 58°F
FriOct 30Mostly cloudy · 4% chance of rain38°F / 58°F
SatOct 31Mostly cloudy · 0% chance of rain49°F / 67°F
SunNov 1Scattered rain · 44% chance of rain46°F / 64°F
MonNov 2Rain likely · 75% chance of rain44°F / 50°F
TueNov 3Scattered rain · 38% chance of rain41°F / 51°F
WedNov 4Partly cloudy · 11% chance of rain38°F / 48°F
ThuNov 5Mostly sunny · 2% chance of rain35°F / 49°F
FriNov 6Partly cloudy · 3% chance of rain35°F / 50°F
SatNov 7Partly cloudy · 8% chance of rain37°F / 50°F
SunNov 8Mostly sunny · 6% chance of rain38°F / 51°F
MonNov 9Partly cloudy · 4% chance of rain39°F / 39°F

The week runs between 38° and 66°, with Saturday the warmest day of it. The second half leans cooling, and Wednesday is the coolest day in it. Monday is the wettest day, peaking near 75%. 4 of the 7 days stay dry.

Forecasts come from the National Weather Service's own computer models, and current conditions from the nearest reporting weather station. Both are served through the weather API. A forecast is guidance, not a warning, and anything the Weather Service has actually issued is on the live map.

The written summaries on this page are generated from the forecast data above, not by a meteorologist. Each sentence is a reading of the same numbers you can see, and no forecaster has reviewed them.

About the Box Elder forecast

Box Elder sits at 44.1109°N, 103.0811°W in Pennington County, South Dakota. The forecast above is drawn for that point from the National Weather Service's own computer models: a seven-day outlook, and a finer-grained one covering the next eighteen hours where it reaches, and the radar and alert panels show what the Weather Service has out over the area right now.

County
Pennington County
Coordinates
44.1109°N, 103.0811°W
Population
13,868 · 2023 estimate
Land area
14.753 sq mi

Place data from the US Census Bureau. Coordinates are the Census internal point for Box Elder, and the forecast is for that location, not for every address inside the city limits, and a large city can have real weather differences from one side to the other.

How well can the network see Box Elder?

The nearest Doppler radar is KUDX (Rapid City, SD), 13 miles to the E. A WSR-88D's lowest routine scan sits half a degree above horizontal, and the earth curves away beneath it, so by the time that beam reaches Box Elder its center is about 650 ft above ground. That is about as close as radar coverage gets in the United States: the lowest scan is still near the ground when it reaches Box Elder, so low-level rotation and the leading edge of a gust front show up on it. Box Elder is closer to its radar than 93% of US cities.

The closest instrument actually measuring the air is KRCA · Ellsworth AFB on the ASOS/AWOS network, 3.6 miles away. Close enough that its readings are, for practical purposes, the conditions in town.

Beam height is the standard 4/3-earth approximation for the 0.5° scan and assumes normal refraction; it is where the center of the beam is, not its edges, and unusual temperature profiles bend it. Radar siting from the NWS WSR-88D network, station positions from the South Dakota observing network as of this build.

Forecasts near Box Elder

Elsewhere in South Dakota

Sioux FallsRapid CityAberdeenBrookingsWatertownYanktonAll South Dakota forecasts →

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