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Collins, NY Weather Forecast

Erie County, New York

7-day view
Conditions now · Thu, 8:53 AM EDT
59°FDewpoint 47°FClear

Measured at KDKK · Dunkirk/Chautauqua Cnty, NY · airport · 21 mi away · 6 minutes ago

Collins, NY at Thu, 8:53 AM EDT: 59°F and clear, measured at KDKK (Dunkirk/Chautauqua Cnty, NY) 21 mi away, 6 minutes ago. Rest of today: high 71°F, low 52°F, 58% chance of rain. No active National Weather Service alerts for this location.

Current radarNational Weather Service radar · alerts refresh every minuteOpen live map →
Rain: light → heavyRadar mosaic © Iowa Environmental Mesonet / NWS · Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors, © Protomaps
Active none for this pointClick to frame

No active alerts for this location.

Most serious first · click a row to find it on the map
What is happeningWritten from the numbers on this page

Dry for the moment, with rain moving in tonight

It is 55° with a dew point of 45°, which is dry for this time of year. The sky is clear.

The wind turns to the west-southwest around 9 PM. The first rain arrives between 9 PM and 10 PM, with the best chance of it around 11 PM. That leaves a usable window outdoors until about 9 PM, and it closes quickly after that.

Hour by hour
8 AMClear52°F0%
9 AMClear55°F0%
10 AMClear59°F0%
11 AMClear63°F0%
12 PMClear67°F0%
1 PMMostly sunny69°F0%
2 PMMostly sunny71°F1%
3 PMClear71°F1%
4 PMMostly sunny71°F2%
5 PMPartly cloudy69°F3%
6 PMMostly cloudy67°F4%
7 PMMostly cloudy65°F11%

Next 36 hours

Wet through the window, then cooler and clearing

The wet part of the window runs from about 9 PM to 1 AM, 4 hours of it, with the highest chance near 11 PM. Total accumulation over the window comes to about 0.24 in.

It tapers off after 1 AM. The overnight low settles near 55°. Tomorrow reaches 60°, 12° cooler than today.

Seven-day outlook

36–71°F across the week
TodayOct 29Rain likely · 58% chance of rain52°F / 71°F
FriOct 30Scattered rain · 39% chance of rain43°F / 60°F
SatOct 31Partly cloudy · 0% chance of rain36°F / 57°F
SunNov 1Mostly cloudy · 4% chance of rain44°F / 64°F
MonNov 2Mostly cloudy · 8% chance of rain47°F / 64°F
TueNov 3Mostly cloudy · 23% chance of rain49°F / 65°F
WedNov 4Scattered rain · 31% chance of rain53°F / 65°F
ThuNov 5Scattered rain · 35% chance of rain53°F / 62°F
FriNov 6Scattered rain · 41% chance of rain47°F / 57°F
SatNov 7Mostly cloudy · 23% chance of rain40°F / 55°F
SunNov 8Mostly cloudy · 14% chance of rain36°F / 54°F

The week runs between 36° and 71°, with today the warmest day of it. There is no real trend across it: one day looks much like the next. Today is the wettest day, peaking near 58%. 4 of the 7 days stay dry.

Forecasts come from the National Weather Service's own computer models, and current conditions from the nearest reporting weather station. Both are served through the weather API. A forecast is guidance, not a warning, and anything the Weather Service has actually issued is on the live map.

The written summaries on this page are generated from the forecast data above, not by a meteorologist. Each sentence is a reading of the same numbers you can see, and no forecaster has reviewed them.

About the Collins forecast

Collins sits at 42.4918°N, 78.8684°W in Erie County, New York. The forecast above is drawn for that point from the National Weather Service's own computer models: a seven-day outlook, and a finer-grained one covering the next eighteen hours where it reaches, and the radar and alert panels show what the Weather Service has out over the area right now.

County
Erie County
Coordinates
42.4918°N, 78.8684°W
Population
4,143 · 2023 estimate
Land area
47.966 sq mi

Place data from the US Census Bureau. Coordinates are the Census internal point for Collins, and the forecast is for that location, not for every address inside the city limits, and a large city can have real weather differences from one side to the other.

How well can the network see Collins?

The nearest Doppler radar is KBUF (Buffalo, NY), 32 miles to the NNE. A WSR-88D's lowest routine scan sits half a degree above horizontal, and the earth curves away beneath it, so by the time that beam reaches Collins its center is about 2,000 ft above ground. That is comfortably inside the useful range. The lowest scan passes low enough over Collins to show rotation in the part of a storm where tornadoes actually form. Collins is closer to its radar than 67% of US cities.

The closest instrument actually measuring the air is KDKK · Dunkirk/Chautauqua Cnty on the ASOS/AWOS network, 21 miles away. Far enough that "current conditions" for Collins is an educated reading of somewhere else, worth knowing before you plan around a single temperature.

Beam height is the standard 4/3-earth approximation for the 0.5° scan and assumes normal refraction; it is where the center of the beam is, not its edges, and unusual temperature profiles bend it. Radar siting from the NWS WSR-88D network, station positions from the New York observing network as of this build.

Forecasts near Collins

Elsewhere in New York

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