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Tularosa, NM Weather Forecast

Otero County, New Mexico

7-day view
Conditions now · Thu, 3:35 AM MDT
57°FDewpoint 52°FPartly cloudy

Measured at KALM · Alamogordo/White Sands Rgnl, NM · airport · 17 mi away · 21 minutes ago

Tularosa, NM at Thu, 3:35 AM MDT: 57°F and partly cloudy, measured at KALM (Alamogordo/White Sands Rgnl, NM) 17 mi away, 21 minutes ago. Rest of today: high 71°F, low 54°F, 36% chance of rain. No active National Weather Service alerts for this location.

Current radarNational Weather Service radar · alerts refresh every minuteOpen live map →
Rain: light → heavyRadar mosaic © Iowa Environmental Mesonet / NWS · Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors, © Protomaps
Active none for this pointClick to frame

No active alerts for this location.

Most serious first · click a row to find it on the map
What is happeningWritten from the numbers on this page

Dry for the moment, with rain moving in this afternoon

It is 55° with a dew point of 52°, which is comfortable for this time of year. The sky is partly cloudy.

Pressure is easing down, 0.03 inHg over the last hour. The wind backs into the southwest around 11 AM, which is the turn that usually comes ahead of the change rather than after it. The first rain arrives between 1 PM and 2 PM, with the best chance of it around 4 AM. That leaves a usable window outdoors until about 1 PM, and it closes quickly after that.

Hour by hour
3 AMPartly cloudy57°F1%
4 AMPartly cloudy56°F4%
5 AMPartly cloudy56°F1%
6 AMPartly cloudy55°F0%
7 AMMostly cloudy54°F1%
8 AMPartly cloudy57°F0%
9 AMPartly cloudy63°F0%
10 AMMostly sunny66°F2%
11 AMPartly cloudy68°F3%
12 PMPartly cloudy69°F8%
1 PMScattered rain70°F25%
2 PMScattered rain71°F35%

Next 36 hours

A long wet stretch ahead

The wet part of the window runs from about 1 PM to 6 AM, 14 hours of it, with the highest chance near 4 AM. Total accumulation over the window comes to about 0.23 in.

It tapers off after 6 AM. Pressure rises 0.06 inHg behind it, which is the drier air arriving. The overnight low settles near 54°. Tomorrow tops out near 68°.

Seven-day outlook

44–71°F across the week
TodayOct 29Scattered rain · 36% chance of rain54°F / 71°F
FriOct 30Rain likely · 62% chance of rain52°F / 68°F
SatOct 31Rain likely · 61% chance of rain54°F / 69°F
SunNov 1Rain likely · 71% chance of rain56°F / 71°F
MonNov 2Rain likely · 71% chance of rain51°F / 65°F
TueNov 3Clear · 4% chance of rain44°F / 62°F
WedNov 4Mostly sunny · 8% chance of rain44°F / 64°F
ThuNov 5Mostly sunny · 8% chance of rain45°F / 63°F
FriNov 6Partly cloudy · 6% chance of rain45°F / 61°F
SatNov 7Partly cloudy · 22% chance of rain47°F / 60°F
SunNov 8Scattered rain · 27% chance of rain46°F / 59°F

The week runs between 44° and 71°, with today the warmest day of it. There is no real trend across it: one day looks much like the next. Sunday is the wettest day, peaking near 71%.

Forecasts come from the National Weather Service's own computer models, and current conditions from the nearest reporting weather station. Both are served through the weather API. A forecast is guidance, not a warning, and anything the Weather Service has actually issued is on the live map.

The written summaries on this page are generated from the forecast data above, not by a meteorologist. Each sentence is a reading of the same numbers you can see, and no forecaster has reviewed them.

About the Tularosa forecast

Tularosa sits at 33.0750°N, 106.0173°W in Otero County, New Mexico. The forecast above is drawn for that point from the National Weather Service's own computer models: a seven-day outlook, and a finer-grained one covering the next eighteen hours where it reaches, and the radar and alert panels show what the Weather Service has out over the area right now.

County
Otero County
Coordinates
33.0750°N, 106.0173°W
Population
2,599 · 2023 estimate
Land area
2.819 sq mi

Place data from the US Census Bureau. Coordinates are the Census internal point for Tularosa, and the forecast is for that location, not for every address inside the city limits, and a large city can have real weather differences from one side to the other.

How well can the network see Tularosa?

The nearest Doppler radar is KHDX (Holloman AFB, NM), 6.1 miles to the W. A WSR-88D's lowest routine scan sits half a degree above horizontal, and the earth curves away beneath it, so by the time that beam reaches Tularosa its center is about 300 ft above ground. That is about as close as radar coverage gets in the United States: the lowest scan is still near the ground when it reaches Tularosa, so low-level rotation and the leading edge of a gust front show up on it. Tularosa is closer to its radar than 98% of US cities.

The closest instrument actually measuring the air is KHMN · Holloman AFB on the ASOS/AWOS network, 16 miles away. Far enough that "current conditions" for Tularosa is an educated reading of somewhere else, worth knowing before you plan around a single temperature.

Beam height is the standard 4/3-earth approximation for the 0.5° scan and assumes normal refraction; it is where the center of the beam is, not its edges, and unusual temperature profiles bend it. Radar siting from the NWS WSR-88D network, station positions from the New Mexico observing network as of this build.

Forecasts near Tularosa

Elsewhere in New Mexico

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