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Smithville, MO Weather Forecast

Clay County, Missouri

7-day view
Conditions now · Thu, 2:42 AM CDT
66°FDewpoint 49°FPartly cloudy

Measured at CW1707 · CWOP · 5.3 mi away · 8 minutes ago

Smithville, MO at Thu, 2:42 AM CDT: 66°F and partly cloudy, measured at CW1707 5.3 mi away, 8 minutes ago. Rest of today: high 75°F, low 59°F, 15% chance of rain. No active National Weather Service alerts for this location.

Current radarNational Weather Service radar · alerts refresh every minuteOpen live map →
Rain: light → heavyRadar mosaic © Iowa Environmental Mesonet / NWS · Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors, © Protomaps
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No active alerts for this location.

Most serious first · click a row to find it on the map
What is happeningWritten from the numbers on this page

Dry for the moment, with rain moving in overnight

It is 64° with a dew point of 55°, which is comfortable for this time of year. The sky is partly cloudy.

The wind turns to the northeast around 9 AM. The first rain arrives between 2 AM and 3 AM, with the best chance of it around 5 AM. That leaves a usable window outdoors until about 2 AM, and it closes quickly after that.

Hour by hour
2 AMPartly cloudy64°F6%
3 AMPartly cloudy63°F4%
4 AMPartly cloudy62°F4%
5 AMPartly cloudy61°F2%
6 AMPartly cloudy60°F3%
7 AMPartly cloudy59°F4%
8 AMMostly sunny59°F4%
9 AMPartly cloudy61°F5%
10 AMPartly cloudy65°F2%
11 AMPartly cloudy69°F1%
12 PMPartly cloudy72°F1%
1 PMMostly cloudy73°F1%

Next 36 hours

A long wet stretch ahead

The wet part of the window runs from about 2 AM to 10 AM, 8 hours of it, with the highest chance near 5 AM. Total accumulation over the window comes to about 0.59 in.

It tapers off after 10 AM. Pressure rises 0.06 inHg behind it, which is the drier air arriving. The overnight low settles near 59°. Tomorrow tops out near 75°.

Seven-day outlook

43–75°F across the week
TodayOct 29Partly cloudy · 15% chance of rain59°F / 75°F
FriOct 30Rain likely · 78% chance of rain59°F / 75°F
SatOct 31Scattered rain · 35% chance of rain58°F / 68°F
SunNov 1Mostly cloudy · 11% chance of rain56°F / 72°F
MonNov 2Rain likely · 74% chance of rain59°F / 71°F
TueNov 3Rain likely · 68% chance of rain55°F / 67°F
WedNov 4Scattered rain · 29% chance of rain50°F / 64°F
ThuNov 5Partly cloudy · 18% chance of rain46°F / 61°F
FriNov 6Partly cloudy · 10% chance of rain43°F / 60°F
SatNov 7Partly cloudy · 8% chance of rain43°F / 62°F
SunNov 8Partly cloudy · 13% chance of rain45°F / 64°F

The week runs between 50° and 75°, with tomorrow the warmest day of it. There is no real trend across it: one day looks much like the next. Tomorrow is the wettest day, peaking near 78%.

Forecasts come from the National Weather Service's own computer models, and current conditions from the nearest reporting weather station. Both are served through the weather API. A forecast is guidance, not a warning, and anything the Weather Service has actually issued is on the live map.

The written summaries on this page are generated from the forecast data above, not by a meteorologist. Each sentence is a reading of the same numbers you can see, and no forecaster has reviewed them.

About the Smithville forecast

Smithville sits at 39.3969°N, 94.5710°W in Clay County, Missouri. The forecast above is drawn for that point from the National Weather Service's own computer models: a seven-day outlook, and a finer-grained one covering the next eighteen hours where it reaches, and the radar and alert panels show what the Weather Service has out over the area right now.

County
Clay County
Coordinates
39.3969°N, 94.5710°W
Population
10,785 · 2023 estimate
Land area
16.155 sq mi

Place data from the US Census Bureau. Coordinates are the Census internal point for Smithville, and the forecast is for that location, not for every address inside the city limits, and a large city can have real weather differences from one side to the other.

How well can the network see Smithville?

The nearest Doppler radar is KEAX (Kansas City, MO), 44 miles to the SSE. A WSR-88D's lowest routine scan sits half a degree above horizontal, and the earth curves away beneath it, so by the time that beam reaches Smithville its center is about 3,000 ft above ground. That is comfortably inside the useful range. The lowest scan passes low enough over Smithville to show rotation in the part of a storm where tornadoes actually form. Smithville is closer to its radar than 51% of US cities.

The closest instrument actually measuring the air is KMCI · Kansas City Intl on the ASOS/AWOS network, 11 miles away. Near enough to be representative on most days, though a summer thunderstorm can soak one and miss the other entirely.

Beam height is the standard 4/3-earth approximation for the 0.5° scan and assumes normal refraction; it is where the center of the beam is, not its edges, and unusual temperature profiles bend it. Radar siting from the NWS WSR-88D network, station positions from the Missouri observing network as of this build.

Forecasts near Smithville

Elsewhere in Missouri

Kansas CitySt. LouisSpringfieldColumbiaIndependenceLee's SummitAll Missouri forecasts →

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