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Pavilion, MI Weather Forecast

Kalamazoo County, Michigan

7-day view
Conditions now · Thu, 8:53 AM EDT
56°FDewpoint 50°FPartly cloudy

Measured at KAZO · Kalamazoo Intl, MI · airport · 3.8 mi away · 23 minutes ago

Pavilion, MI at Thu, 8:53 AM EDT: 56°F and partly cloudy, measured at KAZO (Kalamazoo Intl, MI) 3.8 mi away, 23 minutes ago. Rest of today: high 67°F, low 46°F, 25% chance of rain. No active National Weather Service alerts for this location.

Current radarNational Weather Service radar · alerts refresh every minuteOpen live map →
Rain: light → heavyRadar mosaic © Iowa Environmental Mesonet / NWS · Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors, © Protomaps
Active none for this pointClick to frame

No active alerts for this location.

Most serious first · click a row to find it on the map
What is happeningWritten from the numbers on this page

Dry for the moment, with rain moving in this afternoon

It is 60° with a dew point of 46°, which is dry for this time of year. The sky is partly cloudy.

The wind turns to the west-northwest around 5 PM. The first rain arrives between 2 PM and 3 PM. That leaves a usable window outdoors until about 2 PM, and it closes quickly after that.

Hour by hour
9 AMPartly cloudy59°F7%
10 AMPartly cloudy61°F3%
11 AMPartly cloudy64°F4%
12 PMPartly cloudy66°F7%
1 PMMostly cloudy67°F10%
2 PMScattered rain66°F25%
3 PMMostly cloudy65°F23%
4 PMMostly cloudy64°F16%
5 PMMostly cloudy62°F16%
6 PMMostly cloudy61°F5%
7 PMMostly sunny57°F0%
8 PMClear53°F0%

Next 36 hours

One wet spell, dry either side of it

There is one wet stretch in the window, near 2 PM. Total accumulation over the window comes to about 0.04 in.

It tapers off after 3 PM. The overnight low settles near 43°. Tomorrow reaches 60°, 6° cooler than today. The humidity goes with it: tomorrow is the more comfortable half of this window, and the safer one for anything outdoors.

Seven-day outlook

37–68°F across the week
TodayOct 29Scattered rain · 25% chance of rain46°F / 67°F
FriOct 30Mostly sunny · 4% chance of rain39°F / 60°F
SatOct 31Mostly cloudy · 19% chance of rain45°F / 60°F
SunNov 1Mostly cloudy · 12% chance of rain48°F / 65°F
MonNov 2Mostly cloudy · 23% chance of rain50°F / 67°F
TueNov 3Scattered rain · 43% chance of rain54°F / 68°F
WedNov 4Scattered rain · 45% chance of rain53°F / 65°F
ThuNov 5Scattered rain · 50% chance of rain50°F / 62°F
FriNov 6Mostly cloudy · 20% chance of rain42°F / 57°F
SatNov 7Partly cloudy · 10% chance of rain39°F / 57°F
SunNov 8Partly cloudy · 8% chance of rain37°F / 58°F

The week runs between 39° and 68°, with Tuesday the warmest day of it. There is no real trend across it: one day looks much like the next. Wednesday is the wettest day, peaking near 45%. 4 of the 7 days stay dry.

Forecasts come from the National Weather Service's own computer models, and current conditions from the nearest reporting weather station. Both are served through the weather API. A forecast is guidance, not a warning, and anything the Weather Service has actually issued is on the live map.

The written summaries on this page are generated from the forecast data above, not by a meteorologist. Each sentence is a reading of the same numbers you can see, and no forecaster has reviewed them.

About the Pavilion forecast

Pavilion sits at 42.2086°N, 85.4763°W in Kalamazoo County, Michigan. The forecast above is drawn for that point from the National Weather Service's own computer models: a seven-day outlook, and a finer-grained one covering the next eighteen hours where it reaches, and the radar and alert panels show what the Weather Service has out over the area right now.

County
Kalamazoo County
Coordinates
42.2086°N, 85.4763°W
Population
6,329 · 2023 estimate
Land area
34.954 sq mi

Place data from the US Census Bureau. Coordinates are the Census internal point for Pavilion, and the forecast is for that location, not for every address inside the city limits, and a large city can have real weather differences from one side to the other.

How well can the network see Pavilion?

The nearest Doppler radar is KGRR (Grand Rapids, MI), 47 miles to the N. A WSR-88D's lowest routine scan sits half a degree above horizontal, and the earth curves away beneath it, so by the time that beam reaches Pavilion its center is about 3,300 ft above ground. That is comfortably inside the useful range. The lowest scan passes low enough over Pavilion to show rotation in the part of a storm where tornadoes actually form.

The closest instrument actually measuring the air is KAZO · Kalamazoo Intl on the ASOS/AWOS network, 3.8 miles away. Close enough that its readings are, for practical purposes, the conditions in town.

Beam height is the standard 4/3-earth approximation for the 0.5° scan and assumes normal refraction; it is where the center of the beam is, not its edges, and unusual temperature profiles bend it. Radar siting from the NWS WSR-88D network, station positions from the Michigan observing network as of this build.

Forecasts near Pavilion

Elsewhere in Michigan

DetroitGrand RapidsWarrenSterling HeightsAnn ArborLansingAll Michigan forecasts →

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