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Holmes Beach, FL Weather Forecast

Manatee County, Florida

7-day view
Conditions now · Thu, 6:53 AM EDT
74°FDewpoint 69°FPartly cloudy

Measured at KSRQ · Sarasota-Bradenton Intl, FL · airport · 12 mi away · 10 minutes ago

Holmes Beach, FL at Thu, 6:53 AM EDT: 74°F and partly cloudy, measured at KSRQ (Sarasota-Bradenton Intl, FL) 12 mi away, 10 minutes ago. Rest of today: high 82°F, low 74°F, 8% chance of rain. No active National Weather Service alerts for this location.

Current radarNational Weather Service radar · alerts refresh every minuteOpen live map →
Rain: light → heavyRadar mosaic © Iowa Environmental Mesonet / NWS · Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors, © Protomaps
Active none for this pointClick to frame

No active alerts for this location.

Most serious first · click a row to find it on the map
What is happeningWritten from the numbers on this page

A sticky morning, partly cloudy

It is 73° with a dew point of 69°, which is sticky for this time of year. The sky is partly cloudy. The wind is out of the north-northeast at 19 mph.

The wind backs into the north-northwest around 4 PM, which is the turn that usually comes ahead of the change rather than after it. Nothing in the next day and a half is wet enough to move plans for.

Hour by hour
7 AMPartly cloudy74°F1%
8 AMMostly sunny74°F1%
9 AMMostly sunny75°F1%
10 AMPartly cloudy77°F1%
11 AMMostly sunny78°F1%
12 PMMostly sunny79°F0%
1 PMMostly sunny80°F0%
2 PMMostly sunny81°F0%
3 PMMostly sunny82°F2%
4 PMMostly sunny82°F3%
5 PMMostly sunny82°F2%
6 PMMostly sunny81°F5%

Next 36 hours

Quiet through the next day and a half

Nothing wet is expected over the next day and a half.

The overnight low settles near 74°. Tomorrow tops out near 82°.

Seven-day outlook

67–82°F across the week
TodayOct 29Mostly sunny · 8% chance of rain74°F / 82°F
FriOct 30Partly cloudy · 11% chance of rain74°F / 82°F
SatOct 31Scattered rain · 53% chance of rain74°F / 81°F
SunNov 1Storms likely · 66% chance of rain73°F / 78°F
MonNov 2Scattered rain · 44% chance of rain72°F / 79°F
TueNov 3Mostly sunny · 7% chance of rain70°F / 79°F
WedNov 4Partly cloudy · 10% chance of rain71°F / 79°F
ThuNov 5Mostly sunny · 19% chance of rain72°F / 78°F
FriNov 6Mostly sunny · 15% chance of rain71°F / 76°F
SatNov 7Mostly sunny · 4% chance of rain68°F / 74°F
SunNov 8Mostly sunny · 2% chance of rain67°F / 74°F

The week runs between 70° and 82°, with tomorrow the warmest day of it. There is no real trend across it: one day looks much like the next. Sunday is the wettest day, peaking near 66%. 4 of the 7 days stay dry.

Forecasts come from the National Weather Service's own computer models, and current conditions from the nearest reporting weather station. Both are served through the weather API. A forecast is guidance, not a warning, and anything the Weather Service has actually issued is on the live map.

The written summaries on this page are generated from the forecast data above, not by a meteorologist. Each sentence is a reading of the same numbers you can see, and no forecaster has reviewed them.

About the Holmes Beach forecast

Holmes Beach sits at 27.5106°N, 82.7155°W in Manatee County, Florida. The forecast above is drawn for that point from the National Weather Service's own computer models: a seven-day outlook, and a finer-grained one covering the next eighteen hours where it reaches, and the radar and alert panels show what the Weather Service has out over the area right now.

County
Manatee County
Coordinates
27.5106°N, 82.7155°W
Population
3,027 · 2023 estimate
Land area
1.678 sq mi

Place data from the US Census Bureau. Coordinates are the Census internal point for Holmes Beach, and the forecast is for that location, not for every address inside the city limits, and a large city can have real weather differences from one side to the other.

How well can the network see Holmes Beach?

The nearest Doppler radar is KTBW (Tampa, FL), 23 miles to the NE. A WSR-88D's lowest routine scan sits half a degree above horizontal, and the earth curves away beneath it, so by the time that beam reaches Holmes Beach its center is about 1,400 ft above ground. That is about as close as radar coverage gets in the United States: the lowest scan is still near the ground when it reaches Holmes Beach, so low-level rotation and the leading edge of a gust front show up on it. Holmes Beach is closer to its radar than 80% of US cities.

The closest instrument actually measuring the air is KSRQ · Sarasota-Bradenton Intl on the ASOS/AWOS network, 12 miles away. Near enough to be representative on most days, though a summer thunderstorm can soak one and miss the other entirely.

Beam height is the standard 4/3-earth approximation for the 0.5° scan and assumes normal refraction; it is where the center of the beam is, not its edges, and unusual temperature profiles bend it. Radar siting from the NWS WSR-88D network, station positions from the Florida observing network as of this build.

Forecasts near Holmes Beach

Elsewhere in Florida

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