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Snowflake, AZ Weather Forecast

Navajo County, Arizona

7-day view
Conditions now · Fri, 8:55 AM MST
55°FDewpoint 43°FMostly cloudy

Measured at KTYL · Taylor Arpt, AZ · airport · 4.5 mi away · 22 minutes ago

Snowflake, AZ at Fri, 8:55 AM MST: 55°F and mostly cloudy, measured at KTYL (Taylor Arpt, AZ) 4.5 mi away, 22 minutes ago. Rest of today: high 62°F, low 49°F, 82% chance of rain. 1 active National Weather Service alert: Flood Watch.

Current radarNational Weather Service radar · alerts refresh every minuteOpen live map →
Rain: light → heavyRadar mosaic © Iowa Environmental Mesonet / NWS · Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors, © Protomaps
Active 1 for this pointClick to frame
Flood WatchKFGZ
Most serious first · click a row to find it on the map
What is happeningWritten from the numbers on this page

Flood Watch in effect for this location

A Flood Watch is in effect for this location. It runs for about another 68 hours.

It is 54° with a dew point of 43°, which is dry for this time of year. The sky is mostly cloudy. The air is close to calm.

The wind turns to the south-southwest around 6 PM. The first rain arrives between 4 PM and 5 PM, with the best chance of it around 6 PM.

Hour by hour
9 AMMostly cloudy54°F3%
10 AMMostly cloudy59°F7%
11 AMMostly cloudy62°F7%
12 PMMostly cloudy62°F13%
1 PMMostly cloudy62°F14%
2 PMMostly cloudy62°F15%
3 PMMostly cloudy60°F14%
4 PMScattered rain58°F34%
5 PMRain likely54°F75%
6 PMRain likely53°F82%
7 PMRain likely52°F74%
8 PMRain likely51°F68%

Next 36 hours

A long wet stretch ahead

The wet part of the window runs from about 4 PM to 1 AM, 9 hours of it, with the highest chance near 6 PM. Total accumulation over the window comes to about 0.59 in.

It tapers off after 1 AM. The overnight low settles near 47°. Tomorrow tops out near 62°.

Seven-day outlook

36–62°F across the week
TodayOct 30Rain likely · 82% chance of rain49°F / 62°F
SatOct 31Scattered rain · 33% chance of rain45°F / 62°F
SunNov 1Rain likely · 92% chance of rain50°F / 56°F
MonNov 2Rain likely · 58% chance of rain41°F / 54°F
TueNov 3Mostly sunny · 1% chance of rain36°F / 55°F
WedNov 4Mostly sunny · 2% chance of rain38°F / 58°F
ThuNov 5Mostly sunny · 4% chance of rain39°F / 59°F
FriNov 6Scattered rain · 33% chance of rain40°F / 59°F
SatNov 7Scattered rain · 35% chance of rain40°F / 51°F
SunNov 8Scattered rain · 25% chance of rain38°F / 52°F
MonNov 9Partly cloudy · 9% chance of rain39°F / 52°F
TueNov 10Partly cloudy · 3% chance of rain39°F / 39°F

The week runs between 36° and 62°, with today the warmest day of it. There is no real trend across it: one day looks much like the next. Sunday is the wettest day, peaking near 92%. 3 of the 7 days stay dry.

Forecasts come from the National Weather Service's own computer models, and current conditions from the nearest reporting weather station. Both are served through the weather API. A forecast is guidance, not a warning, and anything the Weather Service has actually issued is on the live map.

The written summaries on this page are generated from the forecast data above, not by a meteorologist. Each sentence is a reading of the same numbers you can see, and no forecaster has reviewed them.

About the Snowflake forecast

Snowflake sits at 34.5215°N, 110.0912°W in Navajo County, Arizona. The forecast above is drawn for that point from the National Weather Service's own computer models: a seven-day outlook, and a finer-grained one covering the next eighteen hours where it reaches, and the radar and alert panels show what the Weather Service has out over the area right now.

County
Navajo County
Coordinates
34.5215°N, 110.0912°W
Population
6,670 · 2023 estimate
Land area
33.74 sq mi

Place data from the US Census Bureau. Coordinates are the Census internal point for Snowflake, and the forecast is for that location, not for every address inside the city limits, and a large city can have real weather differences from one side to the other.

How well can the network see Snowflake?

The nearest Doppler radar is KFSX (Flagstaff, AZ), 63 miles to the W. A WSR-88D's lowest routine scan sits half a degree above horizontal, and the earth curves away beneath it, so by the time that beam reaches Snowflake its center is about 4,900 ft above ground. That is far enough out that the beam has climbed above the lowest few thousand feet. Storm structure aloft is visible; a shallow circulation near the ground may not be, and a warning here can arrive before anything looks dramatic on the radar picture.

The closest instrument actually measuring the air is KTYL · Taylor Arpt on the ASOS/AWOS network, 4.6 miles away. Close enough that its readings are, for practical purposes, the conditions in town.

Beam height is the standard 4/3-earth approximation for the 0.5° scan and assumes normal refraction; it is where the center of the beam is, not its edges, and unusual temperature profiles bend it. Radar siting from the NWS WSR-88D network, station positions from the Arizona observing network as of this build.

Forecasts near Snowflake

Elsewhere in Arizona

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