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Surprise, AZ Weather Forecast

Maricopa County, Arizona

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Live radar, warnings and storm tracking for Surprise, with free alerts the moment it counts.

Conditions now · Fri, 4:55 AM MST
60°FDewpoint 49°FPartly cloudy

Measured at KLUF · Phoenix/Luke AFB, AZ · airport · 10 mi away · 42 minutes ago

Surprise, AZ at Fri, 4:55 AM MST: 60°F and partly cloudy, measured at KLUF (Phoenix/Luke AFB, AZ) 10 mi away, 42 minutes ago. Rest of today: high 72°F, low 59°F, 31% chance of rain. No active National Weather Service alerts for this location.

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Rain: light → heavy
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The next few hours

Dry for the moment, with rain moving in this afternoon

It is 58° with a dew point of 48°, which is dry for this time of year. The sky is partly cloudy.

The wind turns to the southeast around 10 AM. The first rain arrives between 3 PM and 4 PM. That leaves a usable window outdoors until about 3 PM, and it closes quickly after that.

Hour by hour

One wet spell, dry either side of it

The wet part of the window runs from about 3 PM to midnight, 3 hours of it, with the highest chance near 4 PM. Total accumulation over the window comes to about 0.06 in.

It tapers off after midnight. Pressure rises 0.03 inHg behind it, which is the drier air arriving. The overnight low settles near 59°. Tomorrow tops out near 70°.

5 AMPartly cloudy60°F1%
6 AMPartly cloudy59°F1%
7 AMPartly cloudy59°F1%
8 AMOvercast62°F1%
9 AMOvercast66°F3%
10 AMOvercast68°F3%
11 AMMostly cloudy71°F4%
12 PMMostly cloudy72°F15%
1 PMMostly cloudy72°F17%
2 PMMostly cloudy71°F16%
3 PMScattered rain70°F26%
4 PMScattered rain70°F31%

Seven-day outlook

46–75°F across the week
TodayNov 13Scattered rain · 31% chance of rain59°F / 72°F
SatNov 14Partly cloudy · 16% chance of rain55°F / 70°F
SunNov 15Clear · 0% chance of rain52°F / 72°F
MonNov 16Mostly sunny · 20% chance of rain54°F / 75°F
TueNov 17Rain likely · 72% chance of rain54°F / 66°F
WedNov 18Mostly sunny · 13% chance of rain49°F / 66°F
ThuNov 19Partly cloudy · 14% chance of rain48°F / 67°F
FriNov 20Partly cloudy · 19% chance of rain50°F / 65°F
SatNov 21Mostly sunny · 7% chance of rain46°F / 63°F
SunNov 22Mostly sunny · 2% chance of rain46°F / 64°F
MonNov 23Mostly sunny · 6% chance of rain47°F / 65°F

The week runs between 48° and 75°, with Monday the warmest day of it. There is no real trend across it: one day looks much like the next. Tuesday is the wettest day, peaking near 72%. 5 of the 7 days stay dry.

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Surprise, AZ at a glance

Surprise is home to about 158,285 people in Maricopa County, across 111 square miles. It ranks 10th by population of 76 places in Arizona with a forecast here. The nearest neighbour with its own forecast is El Mirage, 9 miles away.

County
Maricopa County
Population
158,285 2023 est.
Land area
111 sq mi
People per sq mi
1,432
Forecast point
33.6708°N, 112.4525°W

How well can the network see Surprise?

52 mito radar KIWA

The nearest Doppler radar is KIWA (Phoenix, AZ), to the ESE. Its lowest scan passes about 3,800 ft above Surprise. Close enough to see rotation in the low part of a storm, where tornadoes form.

10 mito station KLUF

The closest weather station is KLUF (Phoenix/Luke AFB). Representative on most days, though a thunderstorm can hit one and miss the other.

Forecasts near Surprise

Elsewhere in Arizona

PhoenixTucsonMesaChandlerGilbertGlendaleAll Arizona forecasts →

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