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Surprise, AZ Weather Forecast

Maricopa County, Arizona

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Live radar, warnings and storm tracking for Surprise, with free alerts the moment it counts.

Conditions now · Thu, 9:55 AM MST
72°FDewpoint 42°FClear

Measured at KLUF · Phoenix/Luke AFB, AZ · airport · 10 mi away · 8 minutes ago

Surprise, AZ at Thu, 9:55 AM MST: 72°F and clear, measured at KLUF (Phoenix/Luke AFB, AZ) 10 mi away, 8 minutes ago. Rest of today: high 82°F, low 65°F, 1% chance of precipitation. No active National Weather Service alerts for this location.

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Rain: light → heavy
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The next few hours

Dry for the moment, with rain moving in this afternoon

It is 75° with a dew point of 40°, which is dry for this time of year. The sky is clear.

The wind turns to the north-northwest around 7 PM. The first rain arrives between 4 PM and 5 PM. That leaves a usable window outdoors until about 4 PM, and it closes quickly after that.

Hour by hour

One wet spell, dry either side of it

The wet part of the window runs from about 4 PM to 8 PM, 3 hours of it, with the highest chance near 4 PM. Total accumulation over the window comes to about 0.09 in.

It tapers off after 8 PM. The overnight low settles near 60°. Tomorrow reaches 72°, 10° cooler than today. It also gets muggier, so tomorrow will feel warmer than the number on its own suggests.

10 AMClear72°F0%
11 AMClear76°F0%
12 PMClear79°F0%
1 PMClear81°F0%
2 PMClear82°F0%
3 PMClear82°F0%
4 PMClear82°F0%
5 PMClear79°F0%
6 PMClear75°F0%
7 PMClear72°F0%
8 PMClear69°F1%
9 PMPartly cloudy68°F1%

Seven-day outlook

48–82°F across the week
TodayNov 12Clear · 1% chance of rain65°F / 82°F
FriNov 13Scattered rain · 44% chance of rain59°F / 72°F
SatNov 14Partly cloudy · 19% chance of rain56°F / 70°F
SunNov 15Clear · 0% chance of rain53°F / 72°F
MonNov 16Mostly sunny · 13% chance of rain55°F / 75°F
TueNov 17Rain likely · 62% chance of rain56°F / 67°F
WedNov 18Partly cloudy · 24% chance of rain51°F / 66°F
ThuNov 19Partly cloudy · 11% chance of rain50°F / 67°F
FriNov 20Mostly sunny · 20% chance of rain50°F / 64°F
SatNov 21Mostly sunny · 5% chance of rain48°F / 64°F
SunNov 22Mostly sunny · 3% chance of rain48°F / 65°F
MonNov 23Partly cloudy · 5% chance of rain49°F / 49°F

The week runs between 51° and 82°, with today the warmest day of it. There is no real trend across it: one day looks much like the next. Tuesday is the wettest day, peaking near 62%. 5 of the 7 days stay dry.

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Surprise, AZ at a glance

Surprise is home to about 158,285 people in Maricopa County, across 111 square miles. It ranks 10th by population of 76 places in Arizona with a forecast here. The nearest neighbour with its own forecast is El Mirage, 9 miles away.

County
Maricopa County
Population
158,285 2023 est.
Land area
111 sq mi
People per sq mi
1,432
Forecast point
33.6708°N, 112.4525°W

How well can the network see Surprise?

52 mito radar KIWA

The nearest Doppler radar is KIWA (Phoenix, AZ), to the ESE. Its lowest scan passes about 3,800 ft above Surprise. Close enough to see rotation in the low part of a storm, where tornadoes form.

10 mito station KLUF

The closest weather station is KLUF (Phoenix/Luke AFB). Representative on most days, though a thunderstorm can hit one and miss the other.

Forecasts near Surprise

Elsewhere in Arizona

PhoenixTucsonMesaChandlerGilbertGlendaleAll Arizona forecasts →

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